2024 Self-Storage Real Estate Market Value

 

Is there anything more exciting than storing old high school yearbooks, holiday decorations, and outdated furniture? It’s understandable that self-storage may be off the list of lively dinner conversations, but real estate investors would argue the industry is anything but boring. 

 

In recent history, the self-storage asset class has become more institutionalized and attracted large amounts of capital, but it’s a relatively small asset class compared to others. For example, it’s estimated that the multifamily asset class is valued at more than $6 trillion, while self-storage, as discussed below, is valued at less than $550 billion and generates ~$38 billion in annual effective gross income.

 

With 2024 officially wrapped up, TractIQ has put together an analysis to estimate the value of the entire self-storage real estate industry. Below is our methodology backed by data, coupled with some assumptions.

Gross Potential Income ~$43.1 billion
Effective Gross Income ~$37.9 billion
Expenses ~$13.2 billion
Net Operating Income ~$24.6 billion
Total Value of Real Estate ~$448 billion

Gross Potential Income (GPI): This is the rental income the industry would produce if every facility in the country was 100% occupied at average street rates. To estimate the GPI of the industry, we’ve multiplied the 2024 average annual street rate per square foot by total rentable square feet in the US.  TractIQ tracks online street rate data for over 26,000 facilities in the country. 

 

GPI also includes ancillary income from fees, insurance, billboards, retail sales, and other items. Ancillary income ranges anywhere from 0% of storage rental income to more than 10% of storage rental income, depending on the location and operator of the property. The four publicly traded REITs (Extra Space, CubeSmart, Public Storage, NSA) have ancillary income percentages that range from 4% to 12%, based on their Q3 2024 public filings. We’ve used 3% in our analysis as REITs represent a smaller portion of the overall industry. In addition, the 2024 Self-Storage Almanac uses 3% for ancillary income in their due diligence section.

 

Realistically, one could also apply an “achieved rate premium” to GPI as this analysis is only utilizing street rates. The trend in 2024 showed that achieved rates were typically higher than street rates due to existing customer rate increases (ECRIs). For example, according to TractIQ’s Q3 Self-Storage REIT Report, REIT achieved rates were on average 15.6% higher than REIT street rates. We’ve intentionally left out applying an “achieved rate premium” to GPI because REITs only represent a fraction of the total industry, and this assumption is difficult to quantify and apply across every facility in the US. If you’d like to experiment with how this changes, we’ve made the model and all assumptions available here.

 

Effective Gross Income (EGI): This is the net revenue generated by the industry after applying vacancy and collection loss to GPI above. According to the 2024 Self-Storage Almanac, the national occupancy for self-storage in 2023 was 91.6%. For reference, the publicly traded storage REIT’s average occupancy rates for the nine months ending September 30th, 2024 ranged from 85.8% to 92.2%. We’ve used an 88% occupancy rate in our analysis to account for collection loss in addition to physical vacancy. 

 

Expenses: Now that we’ve covered income, it’s important to consider what it costs to keep a facility operating efficiently. Typical costs associated with operating a self-storage facility include property taxes, insurance, management fees, payroll, utilities, repairs, maintenance, administration, advertising, among other items. According to the 2024 Self-Storage Expense Guidebook, the national operating expense ratio for self-storage facilities is 34.68%. We’ve applied a 35% operating expense ratio to EGI to estimate the total expenses of the self-storage industry.  For reference, the publicly traded storage REIT’s expense ratios for the nine months ending September 30th, 2024 ranged from 26.0% to 31.4%.

 

Net Operating Income (NOI) and Total Value of Real Estate: To effectively estimate the total value of the real estate for the self-storage industry, we must apply a cap rate to the industry’s NOI (EGI minus expenses). We’ve applied a 5.50% cap rate to the NOI, but below is a sensitivity table showing how the value of the industry changes based on different cap rates and expense ratios.

 

Expense Ratio
Value 30.0% 32.5% 35.0% 37.5% 40.0%
Cap Rate 5.00% $531B $512B $493B $474B $455B
5.25% $506B $488B $469B $451B $433B
5.50% $483B $465B $448B $431B $414B
5.75% $462B $445B $429B $412B $396B
6.00% $442B $427B $411B $395B $379B

To give some context, below is a table comparing the size of the self-storage industry to other asset classes.

Asset Class Value
Self-Storage $0.4+ trillion
Multifamily (Source) $6.0+ trillion
Office (Source) $5.4+ trillion
Retail (Source) $3.8+ trillion
Industrial (Source) $3.3+ trillion

Although self-storage may be viewed as the “little brother” of the commercial real estate industry, returns have consistently outperformed in recent history, driving more money and attention to the space. Will this trend continue throughout 2025? Will self-storage still be a “hot” asset class? No one can predict the future, especially as the storage industry currently combats oversupply and dampened demand. All the more reason to rely on data when making investments decisions throughout every market cycle.